I’ve uploaded the Land Registry house price data for December 2016 to my website. The annual change is still positive but continues to head downwards. It now looks like it may turn negative in 6 months time.
Tuesday, January 31, 2017
Friday, December 30, 2016
I’ve uploaded the latest house price data from the Land Registry for England and Wales to my website. I’ve also made some changes to the way annual changes are calculated. This means the annual change figure is much less volatile, but it does mean changes in the directions of travel are slower to appear. The current annual change is 3.5% but reducing each month. If the current trend continues, the annual change will go negative in about 9 months time.
I’ve uploaded the UK station usage data for 2016 to my site. I’ve also made a few minor tweaks to the layout which hopefully make the data more useful
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Monday, November 28, 2016
I’ve uploaded the October 2016 Land Registry house price data to my website. Prices are just about managing to maintain a positive annual increase. Although houses are continuing their upward march, there seems to have been a mini collapse in the price of flats, I’m guessing due to the Buy To Let tax changes.
Friday, October 28, 2016
Friday, September 30, 2016
As I type this, my server is churning through the latest Land Registry data for August 2016. The top level data has been imported and it suggests prices continue to glide ever upwards. The only difference seems to be the annual change is getting smaller, whereas it’s been around 5% for the last few years, it’s now around 2%.
If you look back at the data for earlier this year, you can now clearly see the spike in sales in March just before the buy to let Stamp Duty hike. Sales now seem to have returned to the levels seen after the financial crisis.
Wednesday, August 31, 2016
I’ve uploaded the latest house price stats from the Land Registry to my website. As usual, there is very little to report, prices continue to rise gently. Maybe this apparent calm is what leads up to the Minsky Moment?